bif

the signal was the breakout at the beginning of October. the breakout level wasn't reached until December. then, in January, the dip. we should at least try to learn to predict those. the heel in August acts as an attractor. dips below heels happen often. dips are also buy signals, and now we have a bottom forming, but no ... well, there's a little pattern breakout, there, at the end of January. it has broken through the breakout level. more pattern breakouts and we can get in for a move above 7.75 ... + 10% ... although dips past heels are something we want to investigate. maybe it's got good fundamentals.

bhv

the first signal, the green breakout bar in June, and buying at the breakout level later in the month. the second signal, the big green bar in July, and buying at the breakout level ... and then it dips. then it forms ... a real needle, past mid September ... breaks out - a red dragonfly ... and buying at the breakout level, or near it, we get in on many small moves up. we have to wait out little hesitations at the earlier tops ... there's another signal, and buying that in the breakout level ... all but the last of these is profitable even with a $100 investment ... but just ... or makes you about 20% once it gets up there in December ... and maybe reason to sell it ... and if it's a bigger investment, $200, even, or $1000, you are actually doing quite well. would you sell it? it's got longer term potential, from the look of it ... it's a buy again at 17.50 with a stop below 17, which is a break even on your early trades, even

the fundamentals were quite interesting. tiny, an oddball kind of company - a muni fund - makes money - by my calculation it's priced at 24 times earnings - book value is good, period - not cheap, but good - and it has payed a dividend for decades, currently pays 13 cents a share annually which is, what, ... i found a better number. it pays 24 cents a share, no, 28 cents. .28 / 20 = ... a 1% dividend ... right? ... ok? ... but, the price should climb, now, and then it should stay up for years ... even forever.

bdr

now you can see how this is also problematic. it was a breakout out of distinctly a pattern - though we might now be able to say it was not the ideal type - and this was in September ... buying near the breakout level, and then, yes, it started to move in little steps ... but then it collapsed downward. stopped out, and with a 20% loss.

there was an alternative to being stopped out. well, there were two: not buying it, and then not selling it. i've been seeing these failures produce break-even trades and even profitable ones after a dip. here, it has dipped, and then in December it started breaking out from patterns again, and now it has broken out again, from a nicely positioned pattern, and buying at .35 for a rally back nearly to .6, or even to it, makes sense. even holding at .6, in the expectation of a flag, might make sense. we'll see. selling at .6 the first trade would break even and the second would be distinctly profitable.

ayr

inventory

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aumn

let's see ... a dip, a ledge, another dip, and now in mid January a pregnancy, and a breakout. buying the next day at the breakout level ... possible ... and you're in for the ride. then into February a flag! and a breakout ... and, buying the breakout level ... in fact possible, if not likely ... it's like being shot from a canon. it has to be a sell now.

ares

buy near the bottom of the green bar Monday

this is quite the minimalistic pattern. it shouldn't produce a sustained move, and any bigger breakout is sure to be retraced, so we're looking for a quick exit ... although, if you read succeeding posts, you will find i found good stocks on this list, ones that hold up to buy and hold scrutiny (to the extent i am able to scrutinize that way, which is limited). i want to do more of the research on this one. but it is a signal and my guess is it will move from here.

keep an eye on the updater. let's watch and learn.

what was i thinking about this one? was it about another one? what was it?!